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【XM Market Review】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Megaphone Pattern Points to More Gains
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Review】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Megaphone Pattern Points to More Gains". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Bullish view
- Buy the AUD/USD pair and set a take-profit at 0.6700.
- Add a stop-loss at 0.6500.
- Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bearish view
- Sell the AUD/USD pair and set a take-profit at 0.6500.
- Add a stop-loss at 0.6700.
The AUD/USD exchange rate rose after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) concluded its two-day monetary policy meeting and did what analysts were expecting. It rose to 0.6615, its highest in a week.
RBA Interest Rate Decision and US Jobs Data
The AUD/USD pair drifted upwards after the RBA left interest rates unchanged and signaled that it remained cautious about future policy.
Officials maintained that they will remain data-dependent when determining when to cut interest rates. They also warned that the upcoming third-quarter inflation number will be higher than expected. The RBA also expects that the labor market would remain tighter for a while.
Therefore, analysts anticipate no cut in the next meeting in November this year. The hope is that the bank will next cut in 2026, creating a pergence with the Federal Reserve, which has signaled that it will continue cutting rates.
The AUD/USD pair will likely react mildly to the government shutdown because it will ultimately be resolved. Instead, the focus among investors will be on the upcoming US jobs numbers.
Economists expect the ADP report to show that the economy created 50k jobs in September after adding 54k in the previous month. If this is correct, it will mean that the labor market is still weak as www.xmcnbrokers.companies adjust to the new normal of high tariffs.
The labor numbers are important because they are the reason why Jerome Powell and his team decided to cut rates in the recent meeting.
The other important AUD/USD news will be the ISM and S&P Global manufacturing PMI report. Economists expect the report to reveal that the ISM manufacturing PMI rose to 49 in September from 48.7 in August, a sign that the sector is contracting.
However, a similar report by S&P is expected to show that the manufacturing PMI eased to 52 from the previous 53.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
The 12-hour chart shows that the AUD/USD exchange rate has rebounded from a low of 0.6520 on September 26 to the current 0.6615. It has jumped above the 50-period moving average and the major S/R pivot point of the Murrey Math Lines.
The pair has formed a giant megaphone pattern, which often leads to a strong rebound. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has jumped above the neutral point at 50.
Therefore, the pair will likely continue rising as bulls target the ultimate resistance at 0.6710.
The above content is all about "【XM Market Review】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Megaphone Pattern Points to More Gains", which is carefully www.xmcnbrokers.compiled and edited by XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful for your trading! Thank you for your support!
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